بوركس

چارت · شماره‌عضويت: 3271

جل الخالق .

از دوستان کسی خبر داره چرا گندم در عرض 1 ساعت از 1065 به 1334 پریده؟

نيما آزادي · شماره‌عضويت: 49

چارت · شماره‌عضويت: 3271

فرزاد سروقدي · مدیرکل سایت شماره‌عضويت: 3

پديده هاي تصادفي

اين جواب من براي اتفاقات امروز

اما اعتقاد عميق بنده به جناب راوي اين شخص متفكر و زيبا گوي خارق العاده است كه پيش بيني اينچنين جالبي را مدتها قبل نمودند .
تشكر ويژه از ايشان بدليل دقت بسيار تحسين برانگيز و تحليل ايشان در مورد گندم .

ببينيم بازار دم صبح ما چگونه خواهد بود .

راستي دوستان با خبر شدم يكي از دوستان بخش فاركس كه اگر خودشان مايل بودند اسمشان راخواهيم گفت در اين نوسانات گندم در اكانت خود شگفتي آفريدند .

تبريك ويژه اي نيز به ايشان عرض مي نمايم . ( اينجاست كه قدرت استعدادهاي افراد شكوفا مي شود ) .

كاظم نادرعلي · شماره‌عضويت: 1640

نيما آزادي · شماره‌عضويت: 49

فرزاد سروقدي · مدیرکل سایت شماره‌عضويت: 3

فرزاد سروقدي · مدیرکل سایت شماره‌عضويت: 3

در خصوص حركت شب گذشته گندم

Short wheat stocks yield price storm
Poor weather in growing areas, the weak dollar and higher incomes have fueled wild swings in markets
By Joshua Boak | Tribune Reporter
February 28, 2008

The country's amber waves of grain were blown to and fro in a wild day of trading Wednesday at the Chicago Board of Trade. Prices for wheat futures swung between record single-day gains and declines.

"You don't ever want to trade wheat again. That's your reaction to it," said Roy Huckabay, executive vice president of the Chicago-based Linn Group, a research firm. "You've never seen markets like this."

A global wheat shortage is the storm behind the current mania. Poor weather in 2006 hurt yields in the U.S. and abroad, and now the impact of that shortage is rippling through foreign-trade policies, futures markets and grocery store aisles.

Spaghetti noodles made with wheat, for example, cost 18 percent more than a year ago and whole-wheat bread is 12 percent more expensive, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. By contrast, total consumer inflation during the past 12 months was 4.3 percent.

Domestic wheat stocks are at their lowest level in 60 years, the Agriculture Department said last week. Global supplies have sunk to a 30-year low.

At the same time, growing income levels worldwide have increased demand for wheat. And the weak U.S. dollar makes American wheat more attractive to foreign buyers.

As a consequence, prices soared on futures exchanges.

On Wednesday, May wheat settled at $12.50 a bushel, down from a high of $13.49. It opened at $10.79 after dropping by $1.35 in overnight trading. The day's $2.70 range reached the exchange's price limits and was more than the actual price per bushel just eight years ago.

Soft red wheat has doubled in less than a year in Chicago, while spring wheat on the Minneapolis Grain Exchange has more than doubled since September, to $17.47 a bushel.

What's more, those prices may have attracted speculators instead of commercial hedging on wheat prices. And that is significant because it can lead to more pricing volatility, said Joe Sowers, an analyst for U.S. Wheat Associates, an industry organization based outside Washington.

Sowers said this phenomenon traces to March 2006, when droughts in Texas and Oklahoma reduced wheat harvests. Australian farmers endured droughts in 2006 and 2007, and wheat production in the European Union also fell because of weather problems.

That led traditional grain exporters such as Russia, Kazakhstan and Argentina to restrict foreign access to their wheat, hoping that would ward off inflation in their countries. Foreign buyers responded by flocking to America's markets, routinely placing large orders. In overnight trading Tuesday, Iraq alone bought more than 550,000 tons of hard red winter wheat.

"A Nigerian can buy wheat the same way as a Japanese trader or a miller in Iowa," Sowers said. "It's an open-access market."

As a result, organizations such as the American Bakers Association want the Agriculture Department to re-examine its export regulations in order to better protect national supplies.

The Agriculture Department trusts the invisible hand of the free market. It predicted that the high prices will cause farmers to plant greater quantities of wheat, improving the yield next fiscal year.

That prediction will be tested next month, as the department provides more extensive reports on farm acreage. But drastic shifts in sunshine and rainfall could influence its outcome, since yields depend on a return to "normal weather."

نيما آزادي · شماره‌عضويت: 49

در صورت شکسته شدن روند هدف اول 758$ خواهد بود .

راوي · شماره‌عضويت: 1932

نيما جان بنده افت تا 764 را محتمل نميدانم//به نظر ميايد وارد موج 4 شده باشند. -

جناب سروقدي عزيز

بنده اظهار لطف شما را امروز ديدم. باعث خوشوقتي است اگر گاهي برخي تحليل ها درست از آب در مي آيند
بهر حال هدف همين همفكري و كار گروهي و نتيجه مثبت براي همه دوستان است.
(هر چند در مورد گندم و غلات بنده راي متفاوتي داشته و دارم.)

نيما آزادي · شماره‌عضويت: 49

راوي · شماره‌عضويت: 1932

نيماي عزيزم

ممنون از نمودار شما كه صد در صد با آن موافقم

با اين توضيح كه بنده موج شمرده شده توسط شما را موج 3 بزرگ ميدانم (موج 1 بزرگ در آگوست 2002 تمام و موج 2 بزرگ در اواخر 2005 تمام شد (يعني شروع موج 1 از 3 بزرگ)

البته از نظر رفتار شناسي موج هاي گندم معمولا موج 2 پهن شونده و موج 4 زيگزاگ داشته است -بنا براين كاهش شديد قيمت در موج 4 بعيد نيست - و هدف 760 شما در هفته هاي آتي ميسر است ولي احتمالا سريعا برگشتي به بالا خواهد داشت و آغاز موج 1 از 5

نيما آزادي · شماره‌عضويت: 49

راوی جان میشه عزیز این موج شماری تون رو بزارید منم ببینم .

راوي · شماره‌عضويت: 1932

نيما جان

با عرض معذرت- اشكال فني دارم هنوز- اولين فرصت نمودار ميزارم

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