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باركوفسكي · شماره‌عضويت: 623

دوستان به نظرم مي آيد كه قيمت گندم در انتهاي قيمت اصلاحي خود باشد و بايد از ديد بلند مدت قيمت آن را براي يكسال آينده حدود دو برابر قيمت فعلي ببينيم. نهايت اصلاح قيمتي نيز حدود 680 دلار خواهد بود. و آنگاه بايد شاهد رشد آن با سرعت خوب بود.

اين يعني جهان آينده - جهاني گرسنه خواهد بود. بحران آب و غذا بحران جدي خواهد بود.!!!

فرزاد سروقدي · مدیرکل سایت شماره‌عضويت: 3

مدتي شاهد كف زدن نماد گندم بوديم سقوط قيمت اين محصول پس از صعود افسانه وار آن در زمستان سال قبل حركت عجيب و بي پروايانه اي بود .

اما در شرايطي كه قيمت نفت اعداد قبلي را يكي يكي از هم مي درد و بالا مي رود ساير بچه گرگهاي بازار كالا مانند ذرت و سويا نيز بدنبال فتح قلل مرتفعي به حركت در آمدند و در اين بين گندم هم تا 753 دلار اوج گرفت اما عجيب اينجاست كه در مدت كمي شاهد نشست قيمت به زير 889 دلار و بعبارتي حدودا 65 دلار ريزش در يك شبانه روز مي باشيم .

علت را چگونه ارزيابي نماييم ؟

متا فاركس · شماره‌عضويت: 582

Wheat Tumbles Most in Three Weeks on Grain-Council Forecast

By Tony C. Dreibus

June 27 (Bloomberg) -- Wheat fell the most in three weeks after the International Grains Council raised its global production forecast.

The world's wheat farmers will harvest 658 metric million tons in the year ending June 30, 2009, up from 608 million this year, the council said yesterday. That marked a 1.2 percent increase from the group's forecast on May 30. Stockpiles will rise 20 percent to 143 million tons, the council said. Wheat futures rose to a record $13.495 a bushel in February.

``These prices have pushed people to plant more acres, and with the good weather, we should have a great harvest,'' said Larry Young, a senior trader at Infinity Futures Inc. in Chicago. ``More developing countries are adding acres because they don't want to find themselves short this year.''

Wheat futures for September delivery fell 30.75 cents, or 3.3 percent, to $9.12 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade. The percentage decline was the biggest since June 3.

The price has tumbled 32 percent from the record as growers increased plantings to take advantage the rally, and favorable weather improved crop prospects.

The U.S. winter crop will climb 20 percent to 1.82 billion bushels this year from a year earlier, the U.S. Department of Agriculture has forecast. The harvest was 22 percent complete as of June 22, the agency said this week. U.S. growers seeded 46.8 million acres with winter wheat from September to November, up 4.1 percent from the prior year, USDA data show.

Crop Rating

About 46 percent of the winter crop was rated good or excellent as of June 22, down from 47 percent the prior week, the USDA said. Still, favorable weather has helped plants and yields in Oklahoma, the second-biggest U.S. grower of winter varieties behind Kansas.

Yields in Oklahoma will be 35 bushels an acre, up from 28 bushels last year, the agency said.

Wheat prices still have gained 50 percent in the past 12 months after adverse weather curbed production in 2007.

Wheat is the fourth-biggest U.S. crop, valued at $13.7 billion in 2007, behind corn, soybeans and hay, government data show.

To contact the reporter on this story: Tony C. Dreibus in Chicago at

Last Updated: June 27, 2008 17:25 EDT

راوي · شماره‌عضويت: 1932

گندم در مقايسه با ذرت ممنتوم بيشتري نشان ميدهد

با توجه به برك اوت از خط روند نزولي كوتاه مدت تصور ميكنم بزودي تا 630 (سقف كانال نزولي زرد زنگ ) صعود خواهد كرد و از آنجا رفتار گندم را به نظاره مينشينيم

اميدوارم يك موج صعودي پارابوليك و متعاقبا وخامت وضعيت غذايي در دنيا را شاهد نباشيم - شواهد و قراين خلاف اين اميد را نشان ميدهند

راوي · شماره‌عضويت: 1932

راوي · شماره‌عضويت: 1932

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